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Research map / Probabilistic and scientific modeling / Treatment effects

Learning Triggers for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects

AAAI 2019 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Treatment effects · approach: Benchmarking treatment effect models · 14 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use validation data to penalize effects that fail to generalizeCausal trees for trigger-based HTE · NMESSMAPE error: 0.982 -> 0.597Helped
Use validation data to penalize effects that fail to generalizeCausal trees for trigger-based HTE · Cloud StorageSMAPE error: 0.745 -> 0.607Helped
Add an honest variance penalty to the validation-based method (ablation)CT-L · NMESSMAPE error: 0.597 -> 0.417Helped
Add an honest variance penalty to the validation-based method (ablation)CT-L · Cloud StorageSMAPE error: 0.607 -> 0.613No clear effect
Use validation data as a hybrid estimation and validation set (ablation)CT-L · NMESSMAPE error: 0.597 -> 0.416Helped
Use validation data as a hybrid estimation and validation set (ablation)CT-L · Cloud StorageSMAPE error: 0.607 -> 0.719Hurt
Prune trees to retain statistically significant leaves (ablation)Trigger-based causal trees · Cloud StorageSMAPE error: 0.719 -> 0.396Helped
Prune trees to retain statistically significant leaves (ablation)Trigger-based causal trees · NMESSMAPE error: 0.416 -> 0.416No clear effect
Consider more possible trigger values (ablation)CT-HV · NMESSMAPE error: 0.741 compared to 0.416Helped
Add validation-based generalization and honest variance penaltiesCausal trees · ACIC 2018SMAPE error: 0.685 -> 0.189Helped

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