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Research map / Probabilistic and scientific modeling / Dynamical systems

Neural Collective Graphical Models for Estimating Spatio-Temporal Population Flow from Aggregated Data

AAAI 2019 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Dynamical systems · approach: Latent dynamics models · 22 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
model transition probabilities with a neural network of time and location instead of VCGMM time clusteringcollective graphical model · Tokyonormalized absolute error: 0.167 -> 0.148Helped
model transition probabilities with a neural network of time and location instead of VCGMM time clusteringcollective graphical model · Osakanormalized absolute error: 0.250 -> 0.186Helped
model transition probabilities with a neural network of time and location instead of VCGMM time clusteringcollective graphical model · Nagoyanormalized absolute error: 0.250 -> 0.227Helped
model transition probabilities with a neural network of time and location instead of VCGMM time clusteringcollective graphical model · Beijingnormalized absolute error: 0.470 -> 0.408Helped
use time-varying neural transition model instead of time-invariant CGMcollective graphical model · Tokyonormalized absolute error: 0.208 -> 0.148Helped
cluster time points (VCGMM) instead of per-time parameters (ICGM)collective graphical model · Tokyonormalized absolute error: 0.176 -> 0.167Helped

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