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Learning Geo-Contextual Embeddings for Commuting Flow Prediction

AAAI 2020 · Graph learning › Knowledge and temporal graphs · approach: Spatio-temporal graph traffic forecasting · 73 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
add multitask in/out-flow subtasks (ablation)GMEL · NYC commuting flow test setRMSE: 5.356 -> 4.887Helped
add multitask in/out-flow subtasks (ablation)GMEL · NYC commuting flow test setCPC: 0.716 -> 0.741Helped
use separate origin and destination GATs instead of one shared GAT (ablation)GMEL · NYC commuting flow test setRMSE: 4.982 -> 4.887Helped
use separate origin and destination GATs instead of one shared GAT (ablation)GMEL · NYC commuting flow test setCPC: 0.737 -> 0.741Helped
use GMEL geo-contextual embeddings as GBRT input instead of raw featuresGBRT · NYC commuting flow test setRMSE: 5.454 -> 4.887Helped
use Node2vec embeddings instead of raw features for GBRTGBRT · NYC commuting flow test setRMSE: 5.454 -> 5.455No clear effect
use GBRT instead of gravity modelflow predictor · NYC commuting flow test setRMSE: 6.944 -> 5.454Helped
use Random Forest instead of gravity modelflow predictor · NYC commuting flow test setMAE: 2.179 -> 2.436Hurt
use 1 GAT layer instead of 2 or more (ablation)GMEL · NYC commuting flow test setprediction errorHurt
increase embedding size from 32 to 128 (ablation)GMEL · NYC commuting flow test setprediction errorHelped

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