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The Kelly Growth Optimal Portfolio with Ensemble Learning

AAAI 2019 · Learning theory and algorithms › Sample complexity · approach: Optimal mean estimation and subsampling · 24 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
add subset resampling inner loop to growth optimal portfolio (ablation)GO · FF48Sharpe ratio: 0.43 -> 1.00Helped
add subset resampling inner loop to growth optimal portfolio (ablation)GO · EQ181Sharpe ratio: 0.67 -> 1.34Helped
add bagging outer loop to growth optimal portfolio (ablation)GO · FF25Sharpe ratio: 0.70 -> 0.71No clear effect
add bagging outer loop to growth optimal portfolio (ablation)GO · EQ181Sharpe ratio: 0.67 -> 0.52Hurt
add bagging outer loop to growth optimal portfolio (ablation)GO · ETF139Sharpe ratio: 1.33 -> 1.45Helped
add bagging outer loop on top of subset resampling (SS to EGO) (ablation)SS · FF25Sharpe ratio: 1.09 -> 1.11Helped
add bagging outer loop on top of subset resampling (SS to EGO) (ablation)SS · ETF139Sharpe ratio: 1.40 -> 1.45Helped
add bagging outer loop on top of subset resampling (SS to EGO) (ablation)SS · EQ181Sharpe ratio: 1.34 -> 1.41Helped
ensemble (EGO) instead of plain growth optimal portfolioGO · FF48Maximum drawdown (%): 76.15 -> 34.91Helped
ensemble (EGO) instead of plain growth optimal portfolioGO · ETF139Maximum drawdown (%): 5.56 -> 2.02Helped
subset size n4 = n^0.7 versus n^0.5 or n^0.9 (ablation)SS · simulation FF48 growth frontiergrowth frontierHelped
ensemble growth optimal vs equally-weighted portfolioEW · EQ181Sharpe ratio: 0.97 -> 1.41Mixed

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